Ливерпуль vs Эвертон Prediction Adam Pro Tipster

Anfield hosts the highly anticipated Merseyside derby as league leaders Liverpool welcome an in-form Everton side. With Liverpool aiming to maintain their position at the top of the Premier League and Everton looking to extend their unbeaten run while securing safety from relegation, this fixture carries significant implications for both clubs.

Current form

Liverpool enter this derby with somewhat mixed recent form across all competitions, having secured three victories and suffered two defeats in their last five matches. Their Premier League form, however, has been considerably stronger, with impressive wins against Arsenal, Brighton, and West Ham in their recent league fixtures.

Despite recent setbacks in cup competitions, including defeats to Newcastle United in the EFL Cup Final and Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League, Liverpool's league performances have remained strong. They're currently averaging 2 goals per game in the Premier League while dominating possession (approximately 65%) and creating high-quality scoring opportunities (around 2.3 expected goals per match).

W vs Arsenal (3-1)
W vs Brighton (2-0)
W vs West Ham (2-0)
L vs Paris Saint-Germain (0-1)
L vs Newcastle United (1-2)

Key players and injuries

Liverpool are expected to line up in their familiar 4-3-3 formation under manager Arne Slot, with Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, and Luis Díaz forming a potent attacking trio. The midfield will likely feature Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, and Harvey Elliott, providing both creativity and defensive security in the center of the park.

However, the Reds face several significant injury concerns heading into this fixture. First-choice goalkeeper Alisson Becker is a major doubt due to a head injury, which would see Caoimhin Kelleher continue between the posts. Right-back Trent Alexander-Arnold remains sidelined until late April with an ankle injury, while Joseph Gomez is expected to return in mid-April from a muscular issue. Ryan Gravenberch is also unavailable with a knee ligament injury that will keep him out until June.

Despite these absences, manager Arne Slot has expressed confidence in his squad's ability to bounce back in big moments, emphasizing the significance of the Merseyside derby. The depth of Liverpool's squad should allow them to field a strong lineup despite missing several key players.

Position in the standings

Liverpool currently sit at the top of the Premier League table, looking to maintain their advantage over their title rivals. Their position reflects a season of considerable consistency, particularly in league competition where they've established themselves as genuine championship contenders.

This match represents a crucial opportunity for Liverpool to strengthen their title bid, particularly given their traditional strength at Anfield. A victory would maintain momentum in their pursuit of the Premier League crown during this critical stage of the season.

Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths:

Impressive attacking output (averaging 2 goals per game in the Premier League)
Dominant possession play (approximately 65% possession)
High-quality chance creation (approximately 2.3 expected goals per match)
Strong home record at Anfield
Excellent recent derby record (three consecutive 2-0 home wins against Everton)
Tactical flexibility under Arne Slot

Weaknesses:

Key defensive absences (Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Gomez)
Recent inconsistency across all competitions (two losses in last five matches)
Potential mental impact from recent cup defeats
Possible fatigue from competing on multiple fronts
Vulnerability to counter-attacks with high defensive line
Occasional difficulty breaking down compact defensive structures

Current form

Everton arrive at Anfield in the midst of an impressive unbeaten run, having secured two victories and three draws in their last five Premier League matches. This steady sequence of results has helped them move away from immediate relegation concerns, displaying greater resilience and tactical discipline under manager Sean Dyche.

The Toffees' recent performances have been characterized by defensive solidity rather than attacking flair, scoring approximately one goal per game while maintaining organized defensive structures. Their struggle to create high-quality scoring opportunities (around 0.9 expected goals per match) suggests they may adopt a pragmatic approach at Anfield, looking to frustrate their more illustrious neighbors.

W vs Fulham (2-0)
D vs Southampton (1-1)
D vs Leicester City (0-0)
W vs Crystal Palace (1-0)
D vs Tottenham (1-1)

Key players and injuries

Everton are expected to adopt a 4-5-1 formation that emphasizes defensive stability and counter-attacking threat. Jordan Pickford will start in goal, with a defensive line of Vitalii Mykolenko, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, and Nathan Patterson. The midfield five will likely feature Abdoulaye Doucouré, Amadou Onana, and James Garner in central areas, with Dwight McNeil and Demarai Gray providing width. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is expected to lead the line as the lone striker.

Unlike their opponents, Everton have no major injuries reported heading into this fixture. This clean bill of health represents a significant advantage over Liverpool, providing Sean Dyche with maximum flexibility in team selection and tactical approach for this crucial derby match.

Manager Sean Dyche has highlighted his team's unbeaten run as evidence of the squad's strength and resilience, expressing confidence in their ability to fight for every point at Anfield. His emphasis on collective effort and defensive organization has yielded positive results in recent weeks, though Anfield represents their sternest test in this period.

Position in the standings

While specific standings information isn't detailed in the data, it's clear that Everton are currently fighting to secure safety from relegation. Their recent unbeaten run has improved their position, though they remain conscious of the need to continue accumulating points to guarantee Premier League survival.

This match represents an opportunity for Everton to secure a valuable and potentially unexpected point against their local rivals, which would significantly enhance their survival prospects while delivering a blow to Liverpool's title ambitions.

Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths:

Current unbeaten run demonstrating improved resilience
Strong defensive organization under Sean Dyche
No significant injury concerns
Effective counter-attacking potential through Calvert-Lewin and Gray
Recent clean sheets demonstrating defensive improvement
Psychological boost from positive recent results

Weaknesses:

Limited attacking output (approximately 1 goal per game)
Low expected goals creation (around 0.9 xG per match)
Poor record against top-of-the-table teams
Historical struggles at Anfield (last win in February 2021)
Potential vulnerability to sustained pressure
Difficulty maintaining possession against pressing teams

Head-to-head statistics (Recent Meetings)

The recent head-to-head record between these Merseyside rivals heavily favors Liverpool, particularly at Anfield. The Reds have won their last three home matches against Everton by identical 2-0 scorelines, demonstrating their consistent superiority in this fixture when playing at home.

Everton's record at Anfield has been particularly poor in recent years, with their last victory at Liverpool's home coming in February 2021. This historical pattern suggests Liverpool hold a significant psychological edge in derby matches, though Everton's current form provides hope for a potential change in this trend.

Key individual battles that could influence the outcome include Mohamed Salah against Vitalii Mykolenko, with Everton's left-back facing the challenge of containing Liverpool's star winger. The aerial contest between Virgil van Dijk and Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be crucial for Everton's counter-attacking strategy, while the midfield battle between Dominik Szoboszlai and Abdoulaye Doucouré could determine which team establishes control of the match.

Substitutions could play a significant role in the late stages, with Liverpool potentially introducing Darwin Núñez for added attacking firepower if needed. Everton may turn to Alex Iwobi or Neal Maupay to reinforce their counter-attacking threat as the match progresses.

Betting Odds & Coefficients

The bookmakers strongly favor Liverpool for this Merseyside derby, with odds of $1.40 for a home victory compared to $7.50 for an Everton win. These odds reflect Liverpool's superior quality, excellent home record, and historical dominance in this fixture, despite their recent mixed form across all competitions.

Expert predictions from various sources align with these odds, with Transfer-Site.co.uk predicting a 3-1 Liverpool win based on their superior attacking quality and home advantage. Whoscored.com suggests a narrower 2-0 victory with Salah as the key performer, while TNT Sports analysts similarly foresee Liverpool dominating possession and winning comfortably with a predicted 2-0 scoreline.

Popular betting markets:

- Liverpool to win (heavy favorite at $1.40)
- Correct score: 2-0 to Liverpool (suggested by multiple experts)
- Mohamed Salah to score (based on his continued scoring streak in derbies)
- Liverpool to win to nil (supported by previous derby results)
- Over 2.5 goals (implied from Liverpool's attacking statistics)

The statistical trends suggest a match that Liverpool should control, though Everton's newfound resilience under Sean Dyche adds an element of unpredictability that bettors should consider.