Ньюкасл Юнайтед vs Ипсвич Таун Прогноз Adam Hakanson Профессиональный эксперт

Premier League | Kick-off: 15:00 | Venue: St. James' Park

Match Result: Newcastle United 3-1 Ipswich Town

BTTS Prediction: Yes (1.70 odds)

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals (1.55 odds)

Newcastle United Analysis

Newcastle United Form Analysis: The Magpies are in scintillating form, winning 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches including an emphatic 4-0 demolition of Crystal Palace. Their home record has been particularly impressive, with St. James' Park becoming a fortress where they've won 9 of 13 games.

Newcastle United Team News & Predicted Lineup: Eddie Howe will be forced into changes with Emil Krafth set to replace the injured Fabian Schar at right-back. Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, and Jamaal Lascelles remain sidelined as well. Expect a 4-3-3 formation with the deadly attacking trio of Alexander Isak leading the line, flanked by Harvey Barnes and Jacob Murphy providing the width.

Predicted Newcastle United XI (4-3-3): Pope; Krafth, Burn, Lascelles, Targett; Willock, Longstaff, Joelinton; Murphy, Isak, Barnes

Strengths:

• Lethal attacking force led by Isak (11 goals), Barnes (8 goals), and Murphy (9 assists)
• Set-piece specialists with 14 goals from dead-ball situations
• Virtually impenetrable at home with just 6 goals conceded at St. James' Park

Weaknesses:

• Defensive absentees could leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks
• Occasional lapses in concentration against weaker opposition

Ipswich Town Form Analysis: It's been a dismal campaign for the Tractor Boys who sit rock-bottom with just 20 points. Their defensive woes were exposed again in a 4-0 thrashing by Arsenal, making it 5 defeats in their last 6 outings. Ipswich have now conceded a league-high 68 goals.

Ipswich Town Team News & Predicted Lineup: Kieran McKenna has a lengthy injury list to contend with as 8 players are ruled out, while Leif Davis is suspended. Conor Townsend is a doubt at left-back. A defensive 5-3-2 setup seems likely, with Jacob Greaves potentially filling in at left wing-back.

Predicted Ipswich Town XI (5-3-2): Walton; Donacien, Woolfenden, Edmundson, Greaves, Burns; Morsy, Harrop, Evans; Bersant Celina, Kayden Jackson

Strengths:

• Talented individuals like Bersant Celina and Sam Morsy who can cause problems on their day
• Potential counter-attacking threat if chances arise

Weaknesses:

• Injury crisis and suspensions have decimated their squad
• Porous defence that has shipped 68 goals, most in the Premier League
• Atrocious away form with 1 win in 15 on the road

Head-to-Head Record

Newcastle have utterly dominated this fixture in recent years, winning the last 6 meetings across all competitions. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of those clashes, highlighting the attacking prowess of the Magpies against Ipswich.

Key Stats & Analysis

• Newcastle have seen Over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 Premier League matches
• Ipswich's last 5 league games have all featured Over 2.5 goals, underscoring their leaky defence
• Based on expected goals (xG) data, Newcastle's attack has an xG of 1.78 per game compared to just 0.89 for Ipswich
• Newcastle rank 4th for non-penalty xG in the Premier League while Ipswich are rock-bottom for that metric

Insight: The underlying numbers paint a stark contrast - Newcastle boast one of the most potent attacks while Ipswich are among the most blunt. The gulf in quality, combined with form and head-to-head records, suggests an comfortable Newcastle victory is on the cards.

Betting Odds & Recommended Tip

Match Result Odds: Newcastle 1.45, Draw 4.75, Ipswich 7.00

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Odds: Yes 1.70, No 2.00

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds: Over 2.5 1.55, Under 2.5 2.30

Double Chance: Newcastle or Draw 1.15

Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.55

The data points towards a high-scoring affair given the firepower of Newcastle's attack facing Ipswich's fragile defence. The recent head-to-head history also underscores the likelihood of an open, attack-minded clash. At odds of 1.55, backing Over 2.5 Goals makes strong betting sense.